Prediction Markets

How prediction markets actually work under the hood — order books and AMMs, oracles and resolution, liquidity, and what it takes to build one.

Prediction markets

Infra Graveyard Weekly Search Archive

July 20, 20266 min read

What breaks resolution is the moment, not the fact

Two cases from 2026 — a price snapshot you could buy for seconds, and the dispute over Strategy's bitcoin sale. The fact was never in doubt; resolution was.